Global Power Index 4.0  /  For Investors

The world is volatile.
Your investment thesis shouldn't be.

Country-level decisions demand more than lagging indicators and narrative. The Global Power Index quantifies national capability across 194 countries — giving you the structural intelligence to allocate, rotate, and manage risk with confidence.

194
Countries Screened
85+
Variables
30+
Years of Data
10
Specialised Indices
520K+
Data Points
The Problem

The intelligence gap is costing you alpha.

Structural shifts — trade realignments, resource competition, industrial policy pivots — are reshaping which countries generate returns and which destroy capital. Most available intelligence can't keep up.

Backward-looking indicators

GDP, credit ratings, and sentiment surveys tell you where a country was. Not where it's heading. By the time consensus shifts, the move is priced in.

Siloed analysis

Equity, fixed income, and FX desks each run their own country models with different inputs. No unified framework. Contradictory conclusions on the same market.

Qualitative risk scores

"Medium risk" doesn't size a position. It doesn't tell you which dimension is deteriorating. It doesn't compare across 194 markets on a common scale.

The result? Mispriced country exposure, late rotations, and unhedged tail risk.

The GPI Advantage

Quantified country intelligence.
One unified framework.

The Global Power Index measures national capability across ten dimensions — economic, technological, industrial, financial, resource, demographic, energy, geostrategic, etc. — giving you a single, integrated view of where countries stand and where they're heading.

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Standardised Level Index

Where does a country stand today?

Absolute capability ranking across all 194 countries. One number, six dimensions, fully decomposable. Use it to screen markets, benchmark holdings, and identify structural leaders.

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Growth Index

Where is it heading?

Rate of change and trajectory across the same dimensions. This is where non-consensus calls live. A country declining on Level but accelerating on Growth is a different trade from one doing the opposite.

Both the Standardised Level and Growth measurements carry through into all 10 Specialised Indices — giving you truly holistic and granular insights at every level of analysis.

Applications

Three ways the GPI changes how you allocate.

These are the highest-value applications institutional investors are using the GPI for today — from screening to rotation to hedging.

USE CASE 01

Emerging market screening and allocation

Traditional EM indices are market-cap weighted — they overweight the largest economies regardless of trajectory. The GPI lets you screen by structural capability and momentum, identifying markets that are building power across multiple dimensions before consensus catches up.

Use the Level Index to filter for baseline capability. Layer the Growth Index to find acceleration. Drill into Specialised Indices to match your thesis — whether that's industrial capacity, financial resilience, or resource security.

Illustrative Example

Indonesia shows rising scores across Geostrategic Positioning, Financial Resilience, and Industrial Capacity — three dimensions that typically precede sustained equity outperformance. A standard EM screen wouldn't isolate these structural drivers. The GPI does.

USE CASE 02

Country rotation based on power trajectories

Power-weighted allocation — overweight countries gaining structural capability, underweight those losing it. The GPI's dual-index structure makes this systematic: Level tells you who's strong, Growth tells you who's getting stronger or weaker.

This isn't momentum trading. It's measuring the fundamental drivers — demographics, industrial depth, technology leadership, resource security — that determine whether a country's economic trajectory is sustainable or fragile.

Illustrative Example

Germany scores high on Level but shows declining Growth across Industrial Capacity and Energy Security — established capability, eroding trajectory. India scores lower on Level but accelerating on Growth across Technological Leadership and Human Capital. Same region allocation weight, opposite structural stories.

USE CASE 03

Geopolitical event hedging and tail risk management

Geopolitical shocks aren't random. They have structural precursors — military buildups, resource dependency shifts, financial fragility — that show up in fundamental data before they show up in headlines. The GPI captures these structural signals across six dimensions, giving you 6–12 months of foresight to adjust positioning.

When a country deteriorates across multiple dimensions simultaneously, that's a signal. The GPI makes it measurable, comparable, and monitorable — turning qualitative "geopolitical risk" into a quantitative input for portfolio construction.

Illustrative Example

In the years preceding Russia's invasion of Ukraine, GPI data showed structural deterioration across Financial Resilience and accelerating Military Capacity — a pattern that, when combined with declining Geostrategic Positioning, flagged elevated risk well before the event.

Note: Country names are used for illustrative purposes only. These examples do not reflect how these countries actually rank on our indices. Actual GPI data is available through the Dashboard.
Go Deeper

Specialised Indices that map to your investment process.

The GPI's 10 Specialised Indices isolate specific dimensions of national capability — each with Level and Growth measurements. For investors, they're the layer where thesis-specific screening gets granular.

Financial Resilience Index
How stable is the financial system?
Screen for sovereign credit risk, fiscal sustainability, and banking sector health. Essential for fixed income allocation and country risk assessment.
Investment Attractiveness Index
How deep are the capital markets?
Measures deal flow, market liquidity, FDI momentum, and financial infrastructure. Identifies where capital is flowing before it becomes crowded.
Energy Security Index
How resilient is the energy supply?
Assess exposure to energy price shocks, transition risk, and supply vulnerability. Critical for commodity overlay and infrastructure investment.
Critical Minerals Security Index
Who controls strategic resources?
Map supply chain bottleneck beneficiaries — lithium, rare earths, cobalt, copper. The index that tracks the physical inputs to the energy transition.
Technological Leadership Index
Where is innovation capital concentrating?
R&D intensity, patent generation, STEM pipeline, and high-tech exports. Screen for tech-driven growth markets and R&D investment destinations.
Human Capital Index
Where's the demographic dividend?
Working-age population trends, dependency ratios, migration flows, and workforce quality. The long-duration signal for consumer markets and labour availability.

All 10 Specialised Indices — including Industrial Capacity, Geostrategic Positioning, Water Security, and Economic Self-Reliance — are available in Professional and Enterprise tiers. See all indices →

Built for Your Mandate

Different mandates. One intelligence framework.

Investors aren't monolithic. A sovereign wealth fund operates under different constraints, time horizons, and objectives than a macro hedge fund or a family office. The GPI's data, engagement model, and deliverables are structured to serve each.

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Asset Managers
Long-only, benchmark-relative
Screen and rank 194 markets on structural fundamentals. Build power-weighted allocation models. Generate non-consensus country calls backed by multi-dimensional data.
Hedge Funds
Absolute return, macro/event-driven
Identify structural divergences between Level and Growth to source long/short country pair trades. Monitor deterioration signals for event-driven positioning.
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Sovereign Wealth Funds
Multi-generational, strategic allocation
30+ years of historical data supports long-horizon strategic asset allocation. Benchmark national peers. Track how peer economies' capabilities evolve relative to your own.
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Family Offices
Multi-asset, direct investment
Evaluate real asset and direct investment destinations. Assess political stability, resource access, and market depth in a single framework rather than cobbling together multiple sources.
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Pension Funds & Insurers
Liability-driven, risk-first
Stress-test geographic exposure against structural country risk. Monitor Financial Resilience and Human Capital trajectories for long-duration asset-liability matching.
What Investors Say

Trusted by investment professionals worldwide.

I find myself fascinated by Pareto's insights. The team has the ability to connect seemingly unconnected dots to come up with ideas, answers, and thought pieces relating to geopolitics, technology, the environment, and others.

Richard Philbin
Chief Investment Officer, Wellian Investment Solutions
Asset Management

Pareto's thinking is independent & sharp, they never fall for the 'We are right and they are just wrong' type of one-sided binary analyses that we see so often in mainstream reports. I highly recommend their services.

Erik L. van Dijk
Chief Investment Officer, Parmenion Soparfi
Asset Management

Truly unique and noteworthy, the team cut straight through the jargon and delivered a valuable, concise, and engaging roundtable to a room full of investment executives flawlessly.

Juan Carlos Lara
Principal, Point5 Family Office
Family Office

I was thoroughly impressed by both the depth of their analysis and their ability to present complex geopolitical dynamics in a clear and compelling way. Pareto's insights into how AI, geopolitics, and shifting national strategies intersect were eye-opening and highly relevant — especially for decision-makers navigating uncertainty.

Blanca Habbel
Portfolio Manager, Habbel, Pohlig & Partner
Asset Management
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